Affirm Holdings Stock Analysis

AFRM Stock  USD 49.81  0.05  0.10%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Affirm Holdings extending back to January 07, 2021. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Affirm Holdings stands at 49.81, as last reported on the 15th of February 2026, with the highest price reaching 51.08 and the lowest price hitting 48.55 during the day.
IPO Date
13th of January 2021
200 Day MA
69.376
50 Day MA
70.1383
Beta
3.582
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Affirm Holdings holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.582. At this time, Affirm Holdings' Long Term Debt To Capitalization is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 15th of February 2026, Total Debt To Capitalization is likely to grow to 1.05, while Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop about 3.8 B. Affirm Holdings' financial risk is the risk to Affirm Holdings stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Affirm Holdings' liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Affirm Holdings' cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Affirm Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Affirm Holdings' stakeholders.
For many companies, including Affirm Holdings, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Affirm Holdings, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Affirm Holdings' management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
4.678
Enterprise Value Ebitda
23.6921
Price Sales
4.4652
Shares Float
279.3 M
Wall Street Target Price
86
As of the 15th of February 2026, Stock Based Compensation To Revenue is likely to grow to 0.11, while Total Stockholder Equity is likely to drop about 2 B. . At this time, Affirm Holdings' Price Fair Value is very stable compared to the past year.
Affirm Holdings is undervalued with Real Value of 63.92 and Target Price of 86.0. The main objective of Affirm Holdings stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Affirm Holdings is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Affirm Holdings' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Affirm Holdings stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Affirm Holdings is usually not traded on Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day ( substitute day ), Independence Day. Affirm Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Affirm Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
To learn how to invest in Affirm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Affirm Holdings guide.

Affirm Stock Analysis Notes

About 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Affirm Holdings was presently reported as 10.68. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.35. Affirm Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Affirm Holdings, Inc. operates a platform for digital and mobile-first commerce in the United States, Canada, and internationally. Affirm Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. Affirm Holdings operates under SoftwareInfrastructure classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2552 people. For more info on Affirm Holdings please contact Max Levchin at 415 960 1518 or go to https://www.affirm.com.

Affirm Holdings Quarterly Total Revenue

1.03 Billion

Affirm Holdings Investment Alerts

Affirm Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Affirm Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Mizuho Trims Target Price on Affirm to 95

Affirm Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Affirm Holdings' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-05-09
2025-03-31-0.010.010.02200 
2024-11-07
2024-09-30-0.35-0.310.0411 
2025-11-06
2025-09-300.110.230.12109 
View All Earnings Estimates

Affirm Holdings Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Affirm Holdings' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Affirm Holdings' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Affirm Holdings' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Affirm Holdings' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Affirm Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2025-06-30
3.3 M
Foxhaven Asset Management, Lp2025-06-30
2.9 M
Norges Bank2025-06-30
2.7 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2025-06-30
2.4 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2025-06-30
2.1 M
Atreides Management, Lp2025-06-30
M
Bank Of America Corp2025-06-30
1.9 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2025-06-30
1.9 M
Spyglass Capital Management Llc2025-06-30
1.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
24.2 M
Capital Research Global Investors2025-06-30
23.7 M
Note, although Affirm Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Affirm Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 16.59 B.

Affirm Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.08 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.1 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.1.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Capital Employed(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Equity 0.02  0.02 

Management Efficiency

Affirm Holdings has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0123 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0123 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.0892 %, meaning that it created $0.0892 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Affirm Holdings' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Affirm Holdings manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Affirm Holdings' Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 15th of February 2026, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0, while Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop (0.01). At this time, Affirm Holdings' Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 15th of February 2026, Intangibles To Total Assets is likely to grow to 0.05, while Net Tangible Assets are likely to drop about 1.2 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 8.56  4.95 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 7.03  3.83 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 46.55  48.88 
Price Book Value Ratio 6.55  6.87 
Enterprise Value Multiple 46.55  48.88 
Price Fair Value 6.55  6.87 
Enterprise Value25.9 B27.2 B
The strategic initiatives led by Affirm Holdings' management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Operating Margin
0.1047
Profit Margin
0.076
Beta
3.582
Return On Assets
0.0123
Return On Equity
0.0892

Technical Drivers

As of the 15th of February 2026, Affirm Holdings shows the risk adjusted performance of (0.11), and Mean Deviation of 2.8. Affirm Holdings technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Affirm Holdings market risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and skewness to decide if Affirm Holdings is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 49.81 per share. Given that Affirm Holdings has information ratio of (0.17), we suggest you to validate Affirm Holdings's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Affirm Holdings Price Movement Analysis

Study
The minimum time period for execution of this function requires larger time horizon. Please increase the time horizon for this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Instantaneous Trendline is a moving-average-like indicator which is formed by removing the Dominant Cycle from Affirm Holdings price series.

Affirm Holdings Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Affirm Holdings insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Affirm Holdings' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Affirm Holdings insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
O'hare Robert over a month ago
Disposition of 36401 shares by Ohare Robert of Affirm Holdings at 80.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
O'hare Robert over two months ago
Disposition of 2127 shares by Ohare Robert of Affirm Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Max Levchin over three months ago
Disposition of 499223 shares by Max Levchin of Affirm Holdings at 80.17 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Max Levchin over three months ago
Acquisition by Max Levchin of 499223 shares of Affirm Holdings at 49.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Max Levchin over three months ago
Disposition of 499223 shares by Max Levchin of Affirm Holdings at 49.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Max Levchin over three months ago
Acquisition by Max Levchin of 499223 shares of Affirm Holdings at 49.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Max Levchin over three months ago
Disposition of 499223 shares by Max Levchin of Affirm Holdings at 80.17 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Max Levchin over three months ago
Disposition of 499223 shares by Max Levchin of Affirm Holdings at 80.17 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Max Levchin over three months ago
Disposition of 499223 shares by Max Levchin of Affirm Holdings at 80.17 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Max Levchin over three months ago
Disposition of 499223 shares by Max Levchin of Affirm Holdings at 49.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Max Levchin over three months ago
Disposition of 499223 shares by Max Levchin of Affirm Holdings at 49.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Max Levchin over three months ago
Acquisition by Max Levchin of 499223 shares of Affirm Holdings at 49.0 subject to Rule 16b-3

Affirm Holdings Outstanding Bonds

Affirm Holdings issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Affirm Holdings uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Affirm bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Affirm Holdings has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Affirm Holdings Predictive Daily Indicators

Affirm Holdings intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Affirm Holdings stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Affirm Holdings Corporate Filings

F4
11th of February 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
5th of February 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
3rd of February 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
30th of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
21st of January 2026
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
8K
16th of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
7th of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
5th of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Affirm Holdings Forecast Models

Affirm Holdings' time-series forecasting models are one of many Affirm Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Affirm Holdings' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Affirm Holdings Bond Ratings

Affirm Holdings financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Affirm Holdings have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Affirm Holdings' borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
5
HealthyView
Beneish M Score
(3.34)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

Affirm Holdings Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as Affirm Holdings, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
Affirm Holdings currently holds 7.85 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.58, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Affirm Holdings has a current ratio of 19.09, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Affirm Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

Affirm Holdings Total Assets Over Time

Affirm Holdings Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Affirm Holdings uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Affirm Holdings Debt Ratio

    
  48.0   
It appears that about 52% of Affirm Holdings' assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Affirm Holdings' operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Affirm Holdings, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Affirm Holdings Corporate Bonds Issued

Affirm Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

9.48 Billion

At this time, Affirm Holdings' Short and Long Term Debt Total is very stable compared to the past year.

About Affirm Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Affirm Holdings prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Affirm shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Affirm Holdings. By using and applying Affirm Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Affirm entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.02  0.02 
Operating Profit Margin(0.02)(0.03)
Net Profit Margin 0.01  0.02 
Gross Profit Margin 0.61  0.48 

Current Affirm Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Affirm analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Affirm analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
86.0Strong Buy24Odds
Affirm Holdings current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Affirm analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Affirm stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Affirm Holdings, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Affirm conference calls.
Affirm Analyst Advice Details

Affirm Stock Analysis Indicators

Affirm Holdings stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Affirm Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Affirm Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Affirm Holdings stock analysis, traders can identify Affirm Holdings position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow1.3 B
Long Term Debt7.8 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding341 M
Total Stockholder Equity3.1 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.1 B
Tax Provision9.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.593
Property Plant And Equipment Net591.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.2 B
Cash1.4 B
Accounts Payable82.8 M
Net Debt6.5 B
50 Day M A70.1383
Total Current Liabilities180.1 M
Other Operating Expenses3.3 B
Non Current Assets Total1.4 B
Forward Price Earnings46.729
Non Currrent Assets Other203.3 M
Stock Based Compensation321.4 M
When determining whether Affirm Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Affirm Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Affirm Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Affirm Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Affirm Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
To learn how to invest in Affirm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Affirm Holdings guide.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Will Data Processing & Outsourced Services sector continue expanding? Could Affirm diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Affirm Holdings. If investors know Affirm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Affirm Holdings data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.593
Earnings Share
0.81
Revenue Per Share
11.3
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.296
Return On Assets
0.0123
Understanding Affirm Holdings requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Affirm's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Affirm Holdings' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Affirm Holdings' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Affirm Holdings' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Affirm Holdings represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Affirm Holdings' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.